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Wiki / Propagation / Reading Solar Data and Band Condition Reports

Reading Solar Data and Band Condition Reports

How to interpret solar indices, band condition forecasts, and predict when the bands will be open.

Understanding Solar Data

Solar data tells you what to expect on the bands. Here's how to read and use it.

Key Solar Indices

Solar Flux Index (SFI)

The SFI measures radio noise from the sun at 2800 MHz. It correlates with ionization levels.

| SFI | Conditions | What It Means | |-----|------------|---------------| | <70 | Poor | 10m/12m probably closed, 15m weak | | 70-90 | Fair | 20m should be good, 15m sometimes | | 90-120 | Good | 15m often open, 10m possible | | 120-150 | Very Good | 10m can be excellent | | >150 | Excellent | All HF bands potentially great |

Sunspot Number (SSN)

More sunspots = more solar activity = better propagation. We're in Solar Cycle 25, which is performing well.

A-Index (Planetary)

The A-index measures geomagnetic stability over 24 hours. Lower is better for HF.

| A-Index | Conditions | |---------|------------| | 0-7 | Quiet (good) | | 8-15 | Unsettled | | 16-29 | Active (degraded) | | 30-49 | Minor storm | | 50+ | Major storm (poor) |

K-Index

The K-index is similar to A but measured every 3 hours. More responsive to current conditions.

| K-Index | Conditions | |---------|------------| | 0-1 | Quiet (excellent) | | 2-3 | Unsettled (good) | | 4 | Active (fair) | | 5+ | Storm (poor to bad) |

Band Condition Indicators

Many sites show conditions like "GOOD" or "POOR" for each band. These are estimates based on solar data. They're helpful but not always accurate.

Day vs Night

Conditions are different depending on time:
  • Daytime: Higher bands (10m-20m) tend to be open
  • Nighttime: Lower bands (40m-160m) tend to be better

Path-Specific

Conditions vary by direction. Europe might be open when Asia is not.

Solar Events That Affect Propagation

Solar Flares

Intense bursts of radiation. Effects:
  • X-class flares can cause radio blackouts on the daylight side
  • Usually recover within hours

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs)

Clouds of solar material. If Earth-directed:
  • Can cause geomagnetic storms
  • Usually 1-3 days after the flare
  • Can disrupt propagation for days

Coronal Holes

Gaps in the sun's corona. Can cause recurring geomagnetic disturbances.

Where to Check Conditions

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Official source for space weather data and forecasts. swpc.noaa.gov

HamQSL Solar Page

The classic ham radio solar resource. hamqsl.com/solar.html

73QRZ Solar Dashboard

Real-time conditions: 73qrz.com/solar.php

PSK Reporter

See where FT8/FT4 signals are being received. pskreporter.info

DX Cluster

Real-time spots tell you what's actually working. dxsummit.fi

Practical Tips

Trust Your Ears

Solar data is a guide, not a guarantee. If the numbers say "poor" but you're hearing stations, get on the air!

Note the Time

Different bands peak at different times. Learn the typical patterns.

Watch for Openings

Conditions can change quickly. A band that's dead at noon might be great at 4pm.

Don't Give Up

Even during poor conditions, some paths may work. FT8 can pull out signals you'd never hear on voice.

Gray Line

The gray line (sunrise/sunset path) often produces enhanced propagation even during otherwise poor conditions.

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